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- Escrito por Guilherme
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- Acessos: 12
Fake it till you (don’t) make it: Fake diplomas and signaling in labor markets
AUTORES:
Eric Bettinger (Stanford University), Marcio Firmo (UERJ) , Gustavo Gonzaga (PUC-Rio), and Vitor Pereira (UFRJ)
PALESTRANTE:
Vitor Pereira (professor do IE/UFRJ)
DATA: 26/10/2026 (segunda-feira)
HORA: 16:40h
SALA: 201 (antiga sala 203)
RESUMO: Does schooling create skills, or does it merely signal a worker’s underlying ability? We answer this question by exploiting a setting where the two channels can be separated directly: a credential that is observationally identical to a real diploma but, by construction, carries no human capital. In 2018, police in Rio de Janeiro shut down 21 high schools for selling diplomas to adults who had never attended class. We match the
resulting fake-diploma recipients, together with recipients of legitimate adult-education diplomas from the same period, to Brazil’s matched employer-employee records (RAIS). Because both groups actively sought and obtained a credential, the comparison nets out most of the selection that has confounded prior tests of signaling theory. We find that fake and legitimate diplomas produce statistically indistinguishable gains in employment and wages at the moment of receipt: the credential is priced as if it carried skill, before employers have any evidence to the contrary. Within two to three years, however, the two paths diverge sharply: wage and employment gains keep growing for legitimate holders while they plateau and then erode for fake-diploma holders, who also experience ten percentage points more job turnover and non-employment.
The decline is concentrated among workers who do not switch jobs, consistent with employers learning about true productivity on the job, and is sharper in occupations where productivity is easier to observe and steeper where career ladders reward it. Together, the results show that schooling’s labor-market value operates through a signaling channel that is real and economically large in the short run, but whose force depends entirely on employers’ ability to eventually learn the truth.
INFORMAÇÕES GERAIS
Os seminários ocorrerão às segundas-feiras na sala 201. A sala tem que ser liberada até 18:15, pois à noite ela é utilizada pelo curso noturno.
Os alunos de mestrado e doutorado em tempo integral têm que obter uma frequência mínima de 75% nos seminários e os demais uma frequência mínima de 50%.

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- Acessos: 55
SEMINÁRIO DO GRUPO DE ECONOMIA POLÍTICA
O centenário do artigo "As leis dos rendimentos sob condições de concorrência"
APRESENTADORES:
Diego Vieira (UFRJ)
Miguel Henriques de Carvalho (UFRRJ)
Vinicius Carneiro (UFRRJ)
DATA: 05/11
HORÁRIO: 18H30
LOCAL: SALA 102
Contamos com a sua participação!
Organização do Grupo de Economia Política.

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- Acessos: 360
Heraldo Augusto dos Reis Júnior
Nível: Mestrado — PPGE
"A teoria diante da ação (1963-66): o pensamento de Celso Furtado no Plano Trienal e de Roberto Campos no PAEG"
Orientador(a): Eduardo Figueiredo Bastian
Data: 12/11/2026, às 14:00:00
Formato: Online

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- Acessos: 51
LANÇAMENTO DO LIVRO
Celso Furtado: A Critical International Political Economy from the Global South
PALESTRANTE: Leonardo Ramos (PUC-Minas)
MEDIAÇÃO: Isabela Nogueira (PEPI-UFRJ)
DATA: 19/11/2026
HORA: 10h
SALA: 102
This book reinterprets Celso Furtado as a major thinker of International Political Economy and Global International Relations, demonstrating the contemporary relevance of his work for understanding development, global inequality, and the changing world economy. Rather than treating Furtado solely as a Brazilian economist or Latin American structuralist, this book argues that his ideas offer powerful analytical tools for explaining the evolution of global capitalism and the enduring challenges faced by the Global South. Beginning with the debates on Global International Relations and Latin American structuralism, the chapters examine Furtado’s concepts of development and underdevelopment, his analysis of the international division of labour, and his reflections on technology, multinational corporations, natural resources, and environmental limits. The book concludes by outlining a Furtadian approach to International Political Economy, showing how his thought helps illuminate contemporary debates on deglobalization, hegemony, dependence, and alternative development strategies for the Global South.

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Confira o resultado do III Prêmio de Teses e Dissertações
DISSERTAÇÃO VENCEDORA
"Financiando o futuro das florestas: viabilidade econômica e estratégias de priorização para a conservação do excedente de vegetação nativa no Brasil".
AUTORA: Fernanda Débora Gomes (PPGE/UFRJ)
ORIENTADOR: Kaio Glauber Vital da Costa
